Intelligence Hub
QLD OverviewNationalSECTOR REPORTCtrl+P to save as PDF
SECTOR INTELLIGENCE REPORTQUEENSLANDMARCH 2026

$536M/year.
90% unsentenced.
Reoffending going up.

A comprehensive evidence report on Queensland's youth justice system: where the money goes, what the data shows, what communities are building, and what works around the world. 71 programs mapped. 0 media articles analysed.

$536M
YJ Spend 2024-25
ROGS 2025
90%
Unsentenced
AIHW 2023-24
69%
Reoffend 12mo
QAO 2024
26.3x
Indigenous Overrep
ROGS 2025
$2,714
Detention $/day
ROGS 2025
71
Programs Mapped
JusticeHub

The System at Scale

On any given night, 300 young people are in QLD detention — the highest count nationally. 90% haven't been convicted.

90%
Unsentenced in detention
vs 72% nationally
300
Detained per night
Highest nationally
1,598
Supervised per day
AIHW 2023-24
72%
First Nations in detention
Rate: 159/10K

A remand crisis, not a crime crisis

90% of young people in QLD detention are unsentenced — held on remand, not convicted. This is the highest rate nationally (72% average). QLD is not detaining convicted offenders; it is warehousing children awaiting trial at $2,714/day. This is a bail system problem.

AIHW 2023-24, QLD chapter

Detention rising, community falling

Over five years, QLD detention numbers are up 50% while community supervision is down 18%. The system is structurally shifting young people from community into custody. First Nations detention rate has risen from 33 to 40 per 10,000 over four years.

AIHW Youth Detention 2025

Closing the Gap — Target 11

QLD's First Nations youth detention rate is 46 per 10,000 — more than double the national target of 22.3. The target is assessed as “no change from baseline” nationally, but QLD is actively going backwards.

Closing the Gap Dashboard

The Spending Picture

Spending has more than doubled in a decade while outcomes have worsened.

ROGS Real Recurrent Expenditure ($'000)

2015-16
$215M
2016-17
$233M
2017-18
$262M
2018-19
$310M
2019-20
$335M
2020-21
$347M
2021-22
$393M
2022-23
$390M
2023-24
$455M
2024-25
$536M

Source: ROGS 2025, Table 17A.1

Cost Per Young Person — 71 QLD Programs

Community (<$5K/yr)
5

Mentoring, diversion, sport, cultural programs

Intensive ($5-25K/yr)
59

Case management, bail support, family intervention

Residential ($25-100K/yr)
4

Residential rehab, therapeutic care

Detention (>$100K/yr)
3

Youth detention centres

Source: JusticeHub program cost analysis, verified March 2026. Median $5K/yr.

The “$560M Early Intervention” Package

What the government calls early intervention vs what the money actually buys.

ComponentAmount% of $560MWhat it is
Woodford Youth Detention Centre$224M40%Detention infrastructure
Wacol Youth Detention expansion$94M17%Detention infrastructure
Kickstarter Fund programs~$115M21%Actual early intervention
Regional Reset programs~$50M9%Short-stay residential + mentoring
Other~$77M14%Mixed

Source: QLD Budget SDS 2025-26; component analysis by JusticeHub

57% of 'early intervention' is detention construction

$318M of the claimed $560M early intervention budget is Woodford and Wacol detention infrastructure. Relabelling detention construction as prevention is a framing choice, not a policy one.

$104.6M with no documented rationale

The QLD Auditor-General found the co-responder program received $104.6M with no documented rationale for the spending level (QAO Report 15, 2024).

DYJVS Contract Recipients

555 disclosed contracts worth $181.2M. Who receives DYJVS funding?

#RecipientTypeIndigenousContractsTotal Value% of DYJVS
1Anglicare Southern QueenslandIntermediary7$21.6M12%
2Ted Noffs FoundationIntermediary4$16.6M9%
3Shine For Kids LimitedCommunity ControlledYes2$13.3M7%
4Life Without BarriersIntermediary2$12.2M7%
5Bridges Health and Community CareCommunity Adjacent5$11.2M6%
6Fearless to SuccessCommunity Adjacent1$6.5M4%
7Kurbingui Youth Development LimitedCommunity Adjacent3$6.5M4%
8Save the Children AustraliaIntermediary7$6.4M4%
9Youth Insearch Foundation (Aust) IncCommunity ControlledYes1$5.5M3%
10Kokoda Youth Foundation IncCommunity Adjacent1$5.5M3%
11Live Long Live StrongCommunity ControlledYes2$5.4M3%
12Yabun Panjoo Aboriginal CorporationCommunity ControlledYes1$5.3M3%
13Central Queensland Indigenous Development LtdCommunity ControlledYes1$4.6M3%
14Cairns Regional Community Development & Employment Aboriginal & Torres Strait Islander CorporationCommunity ControlledYes1$4.1M2%
15Uq Health Care LimitedCommunity Adjacent1$4.0M2%
16Children Australia IncCommunity Adjacent1$3.2M2%
17VILLAGE SUPPORT LTDCommunity Adjacent1$2.6M1%
18ICYS Youth Access and Support ServiceCommunity Adjacent3$2.6M1%
19AMERICAN EXPRESS AUSTRALIA LTDCommunity Adjacent16$2.3M1%
20DATA #3 LTDCommunity Adjacent21$2.1M1%
21Namu Collective Pty LtdIntermediary1$2.1M1%
22Jabalbina Yalanji Aboriginal CorporationCommunity ControlledYes1$2.1M1%
23Family and Child Connect and Intensive Family SupportCommunity Adjacent3$1.9M1%
24Ohana Education LtdCommunity Adjacent1$1.6M1%
25BURLEIGH MARR DISTRIBUTIONS PTY LTDIntermediary21$1.6M1%
Top 25 Total108$151.0M83%

Who Gets the Money

DYJVS contract funding by organisation type.

Intermediary 43%
Community Adjacent 34%
Community Controlled 23%
TypeTotalContractsOrgs%
Intermediary$77.6M38712143%
Community Adjacent$61.4M1383834%
Community Controlled$42.0M221523%
University$223K820%

Intermediaries receive 27x more than ACCOs

Across the broader QLD system, intermediaries received $963M in top contracts vs $36M for ACCOs. In a system where 72% of detained young people are First Nations, community-controlled organisations receive 3.7% of top contract value.

Evidence Profile

71 QLD programs mapped by evidence level. 631 evidence items across 2,065 links.

Effective
2
3%
Promising
22
31%
Indigenous-led
9
13%
Untested
38
54%

0 Proven programs in QLD

Of 71 programs, zero have Proven-level evidence. Only 2 are rated Effective. 38 remain untested. The state is spending $536M/year with almost no evidence base.

QAO: 18% of files had no evidence of rehab

The QLD Auditor-General found 18% of sampled case files had no documented evidence rehabilitation was delivered. The department measures outputs, not outcomes.

QAO Report 15

The Recidivism Crisis

More spending, worse outcomes. Detention is a crime-production system.

69%
Reoffend within 12 months
QAO Report 15 (up from 64%)
84-96%
Post-detention reoffending
QFCC (June 2024)
26.3x
Indigenous overrepresentation
In detention (ROGS 2025)

The QFCC studied what happens when kids leave detention

The QFCC interviewed 66 young people and 44 workers inside the system (Exiting Youth Detention, June 2024). They found 84-96% reoffending post-detention. Young people reported programs inside detention were experienced as compliance requirements, not genuine support. The report concluded detention-based rehabilitation is fundamentally ineffective.

QFCC Exiting Youth Detention Report

Voices from Community

The data describes a system. These are the people building the alternatives. All stories from the Empathy Ledger, published with informed consent and cultural authority.

Mount Isa — BG-FIT & DeadlyLabs
When you're at bush, you can be yourself.

Brodie Germaine

Pita Pita & Waka'i man, BG-FIT Founder · Mount Isa, Kalkadoon Country

From “When You're at Bush, You Can Be Yourself” · Empathy Ledger

Speak from the heart and they will listen.

Uncle George Leon

Kalkadoon Elder · Mount Isa

From “Speak From the Heart and They Will Listen” · Empathy Ledger

BG-FIT runs on-country camps, fitness programs, and cultural mentoring in one of QLD's most challenging youth justice environments. Uncle George provides cultural authority that no intermediary can replicate and no contract can purchase. BG-FIT is unfunded by DYJVS.3 stories, 5 transcripts in Empathy Ledger

Palm Island — PICC (21 programs, 100% Aboriginal-led)
My name is Iris. My parents were born here on Palm Island.

Iris

Community member · Palm Island

From “The Little Boat Called Ivy May” · Empathy Ledger

I'm a local on Palm Island. I'm Aboriginal.

Henry Doyle

Community member · Palm Island

From “Just Be There for Them” · Empathy Ledger

“Finding a Reason to Get Out of Bed”

The Men's Group on Palm Island — not diversion, not case management, not therapy. Men in community holding each other accountable and present. It costs almost nothing. It cannot be contracted to an intermediary.

Palm Island Men's Group

PICC demonstrates that Aboriginal communities can design, deliver, and govern comprehensive service systems. Uncle Alan (Manbarra Traditional Owner), Uncle Frank, Ruby Sibley, and 23 community members have shared their stories.10 stories, 11 transcripts in Empathy Ledger

Minjerribah (Stradbroke Island) — MMEIC

Minjerribah Moorgumpin Elders-in-Council has been running Indigenous-led justice and healing on Quandamooka Country for decades — predating the current wave of government interest in “justice reinvestment.” The Quandamooka Justice and Healing Strategy centres Elders, culture, and Country rather than courts and compliance.

Led by Aunty Evie, Uncle Dale, and Aunty Maureen. Stories include “After the Flood,” “The Morning Tide,” and “Grading Day.”9 members, 3 stories, 2 transcripts in Empathy Ledger

What these communities share

Cultural authority that cannot be outsourced. Programs that don't fit government categories. Persistence without proportional funding. The $536M question is not whether these approaches work — the people in these stories are the evidence. The question is why the system sends $963M to intermediaries and $36M to the communities doing the work.

What Works Globally

QLD's approach contradicts 40 years of international evidence. Here's what other jurisdictions have done instead.

Scotland

GIRFEC / Children's Hearings

92% drop in youth prosecutions

Children (Care and Justice) Act 2024 ended youth imprisonment entirely. 97% reduction in youth custody sentences since 2008. Welfare-based responses for under-18s.

Scottish Government, Justice for Children 2024-26

New Zealand

Rangatahi Courts & Iwi Panels

15% less reoffending

Māori-led courts with tikanga process. 64% reduction in young Māori offending over 10 years. 80%+ of iwi panel participants complete their plans. Family Group Conferencing since 1989.

Youth Court of NZ; Walton (2020)

Canada

Youth Criminal Justice Act

50%+ drop in youth incarceration

Within 6 years of the 2003 Act, youth incarceration halved. Over 90% long-term reduction. No increase in youth crime. Replaced prison with community alternatives.

Justice Canada YCJA Evaluation, 2021

Spain

Diagrama Foundation

13.6% recidivism over 6 years

Therapeutic community model vs 30-50% in traditional detention. 70%+ transition to education/employment within 6 months. €3.80 return per €1 invested.

Diagrama Foundation evaluation data

USA (Missouri)

Missouri Model

24% reincarceration (vs 52% Arizona)

Small group homes near community replace large youth prisons. Fewer than 8% go on to adult prison. 85% positively engaged post-release. No extra cost.

Annie E. Casey Foundation

Australia (NSW)

Maranguka Justice Reinvestment

42% fewer custody days

Aboriginal-led in Bourke. 23% drop in domestic violence, 31% rise in Year 12 retention. $3.1M gross impact on $0.6M cost. KPMG-validated 5:1 return.

JustReinvest NSW; KPMG Assessment

The meta-analytic consensus

Across 48 meta-analyses covering 40 years of research: rehabilitation works (OR 1.73 for CBT-based programs), while deterrence-based approaches are slightly harmful (OR 0.85). This is settled science. QLD's current approach — more detention, harsher bail, breach-based enforcement — contradicts the entire evidence base.

PMC: The 40-year debate meta-review

What the Sector Says

International bodies, national commissions, peak organisations, and academic research all point the same direction.

UN Special RapporteursMay 2025

Two Special Rapporteurs described QLD laws as "incompatible with basic child rights." Cited detention of children as young as 10, breach of bail laws, and conditions of confinement.

Human Rights WatchMay 2025

Documented children in concrete watch house cells with no natural light (Cairns) and no outdoor exercise (Murgon). Extended watch house stays exceeding legal time limits.

Amnesty International2025

"Adult Crime, Adult Time" legislation violates the Convention on the Rights of the Child. No other developed nation applies adult sentencing to children under 14.

AHRC2024-25

"Help Way Earlier!" report called for transforming child justice toward safety and wellbeing, away from punitive models. Identified QLD as particularly concerning.

Dickson (2025)Academic paper

Peer-reviewed critique in Alternative Law Journal: Making Queensland Safer Act is "punitive populism" enacted against overwhelming criminological evidence.

QFCC Principal CommissionerJanuary 2026

Submission on Electronic Monitoring Bill: "does not reduce reoffending and creates false community expectations of safety" while impeding rehabilitation.

QATSICPP2024-25

Appointed QLD Youth Justice Peak Body (May 2024). Represents 35 community-controlled organisations. Evidence review found 56% of QLD YJ kids had prior child protection contact.

Senate InquiryReports June 2026

Second inquiry into Australia's youth justice and incarceration system. Major submissions from ATSILS, Law Council, AHRC, VACCA, NAPCAN. Hearing witnesses described system "in crisis."

Transparency and Accountability

RTI refusal rates, hidden consultancy spending, and what the ministerial diary shows.

88%
RTI requests refused
Of 17 non-personal RTI applications to DYJVS. Brisbane Times refused twice. Only significant release: a 21.2MB strip search register.
$1.9M
Consultancy (reported as “NIL”)
Annual report says “NIL” consultancy. Contract disclosures show $1.85M in “professional services” to Nous ($509K), PwC ($211K), Deloitte ($112K). 1 of 30 contracts was with an Indigenous consultant.
0
First Nations peak body meetings
In 4 months of ministerial diary data (Oct 2025 - Jan 2026), no structured consultation with First Nations peak bodies is visible. 20 YJ service orgs had meetings.

Ministerial Activity Timeline

17 statements tracked. All mention "restoring safety" and the $560M figure.

19 Mar 2026

Kickstarting early intervention to make Brisbane safer

Amounts: $1 million

11 Mar 2026

Kickstarting early intervention to keep Toowoomba youth out of crime

Amounts: $560 million

26 Feb 2026

Kickstarting early intervention to keep youth out of crime

Amounts: $115 million

18 Feb 2026

New Regional Reset program to restore safety to the Sunshine Coast

Amounts: $50 million

12 Feb 2026

Stronger youth bail monitoring laws passed to restore safety where you live

20 Jan 2026

Kickstarting early intervention in Cairns to keep girls out of crime

Amounts: $560 million

20 Jan 2026

Fresh start for Townsville youth as program kickstarts career pathways

10 Dec 2025

Stronger youth bail monitoring laws to make Queensland safer

4 Dec 2025

New youth criminal rehabilitation program making Wide Bay-Burnett safer

Amounts: $225 million

3 Dec 2025

New intensive early intervention program to help restore safety to Far North Queensland

Amounts: $50 million

The Cross-System Pipeline

72.9% of children in youth justice were known to child protection. The pipeline is predictable.

72.9%
CP contact (all children)
QFCC 2024
81.2%
CP contact (First Nations)
QFCC 2024
~45%
Mental health comorbidity
Clinical literature
~40%
Cognitive disability (est.)
National studies

The pipeline is identifiable years in advance

72.9% of children in youth justice had prior child protection contact. For First Nations children: 81.2%. The children who enter youth justice at 14 are, in most cases, already known to the state at 4. Community family support at $3-8K/year could prevent the $991K/year detention pathway.

QFCC Crossover Cohort Data Insights, Nov 2024

What We Don't Know

Critical data gaps that prevent evidence-based policy.

Program-level reoffending

No public data on which of 71 programs reduce reoffending. $536M spent with no outcome measurement by program.

Intermediary overhead

No public data on what % of intermediary funding reaches frontline delivery vs management fees.

ACCO vs intermediary outcomes

No systematic comparison of outcomes by org type. Would reveal whether the 27:1 funding ratio is justified.

Disability crossover

~40% estimate has no QLD-specific data. No NDIS-youth justice data linkage exists.

Kickstarter program outcomes

41 programs funded, zero independently evaluated. No published evaluation of any individual program.

Cultural safety metrics

No standardised measure of cultural safety across programs. Cannot compare program quality for First Nations young people.

What JusticeHub has built to fill these gaps: 71 programs mapped with evidence level and cost data. 631 evidence items across 2,065 links. 0 media articles with sentiment scoring. 98,404 organisations classified by control type. The missing half is outcome data — which only the department can provide or mandate.

Connected

This report is part of a wider intelligence system. Explore the data, the stories, and the organisations.

The Bottom Line

Queensland spends $536 million per year on youth justice. 90% of detained children are unsentenced. Reoffending is going up, not down. Post-detention reoffending is 84-96%.

Scotland has ended youth imprisonment entirely. Canada halved youth incarceration with no crime increase. New Zealand's Rangatahi Courts reduced Māori reoffending. Maranguka in Bourke delivered a 5:1 return on Aboriginal-led justice reinvestment.

In Queensland, intermediaries receive 27x more funding than the communities doing the work. Palm Island runs 21 programs, 100% Aboriginal-led. BG-FIT in Mount Isa runs on community energy. MMEIC on Minjerribah has been doing justice reinvestment for decades.

The question is not whether alternatives exist. It's why QLD continues to invest in a system that every piece of evidence says doesn't work.

Data: ROGS 2025, AIHW 2023-24 & 2025, QAO Report 15, QFCC (Crossover Cohort, Exiting Detention, EM Bill), QLD Contract Disclosure, Ministerial Diary, Senate Inquiry, UN OHCHR, HRW, Amnesty. Stories: Empathy Ledger (published with informed consent and cultural authority). Built by JusticeHub. Senate inquiry reports June 2026.